−
wind farm Baczyna until 2043,
−
CGU Hydro – until 2043,
−
CGU Biogas – until 2024,
−
CGU Elektrownie Systemowe Połaniec – until 2034,
−
CGU Zielony Blok – until 2043,
−
CGU Białystok – until 2043.
Presented below are the key assumptions used in impairment tests:
−
assets
were
tested
in
seven
CGUs
(CGU
Elektrownie
Systemowe
Kozienice,
CGU
Wind,
CGU
Hydro,
CGU
Biogas, CGU Elektrownie Systemowe Połaniec, CGU Zielony Blok, CGU Białystok),
−
the
main
price
paths,
based
on
forecasts
prepared
by
ENEA
Trading
(a
company
operating
as
ENEA
Group's
competence
centre
for
wholesale
trade
of
electricity,
emission
allowances
and
fuels),
taking
into
account
the
specific nature of products and knowledge about existing contracts:
−
wholesale
"base"
prices
for
electricity:
for
2021-2043:
prices
are
expected
to
see
the
largest
growth,
from
230.1
PLN/MWh
in
2021
to
PLN
286.3
in
2033,
followed
by
conservative
annual
growth
by
an
average
of 0.4% in the period 2034-2043 [fixed prices 2020],
−
prices
of
energy
origin
certificates
(renewables):
the
support
system
for
renewables
until
2031
was
taken
into
account,
and
specific
renewable-source
plants
will
use
support
within
a
15-year
period;
until
2023,
prices
are
expected
to
grow
by
an
average
of
approx.
7%
in
reference
to
2021.
After
2023,
prices
are
forecast
to
remain
in
a
downtrend
at
the
average
rate
of
approx.
3%
annually
until
2028,
while
in
the
final
years they are expected to dynamically decline until the support system ends [fixed prices 2020],
−
prices
of
CO
2
emission
allowances:
the
forecast
sees
gradual
growth
in
the
price
of
CO
2
emission
allowances
by
an
average
of
5.5%,
from
21.42
EUR/t
in
2021
until
2028.
From
2028
to
2037,
further
growth
in
price
is
expected,
at
approx.
3%.
From
2038,
growth
is
expected
to
reach
approx.
1%
[fixed
prices
2020],
−
coal prices: coal prices are expected to remain stable at approx. 11 PLN/GJ [fixed prices 2020],
−
biomass
prices:
biomass
prices
are
expected
to
grow
until
2027,
from
the
average
level
of
20
PLN/GJ
in
2021,
at
approx.
2%.
After
2027,
prices
are
expected
to
decline
at
approx.
4%
until
2031.
In
2032,
prices
are expected to grow by 3%, followed by slow growth until 2043 at approx. 1% [fixed prices 2020],
−
heating
prices:
an
average
annual
growth
of
approx.
1%
is
expected
until
2043,
from
the
average
price
level
of 71.9 PLN/GJ in 2021 [fixed prices 2020],
−
natural
gas:
prices
are
expected
to
grow
until
2030,
at
an
average
annual
rate
of
approx.
3%,
from
80.5
PLN/MWh in 2021, follows by stabilisation until 2043 [fixed prices 2020].
−
quantity
of
CO
2
emission
allowances
received
for
free
for
years
2020-2025
in
accordance
with
derogation
application
(pursuant
to
art.
10c
sec.
5
of
Directive
2003/87/EC
of
the
European
Parliament
and
of
the
Council),
−
revenue
related
to
maintaining
generation
capacities
from
2021
pursuant
to
the
Act
on
the
Capacity
Market,
adopted in December 2017, based on auctions won in 2018, 2019 and 2020,
−
inflation, taking into account the inflation target, at a maximum level of 2.5%,
−
nominal
discount
rate
–
4.41%
[discount
rate
before
tax
is
5.12%].
The
Group
used
a
premium
for
specific
risk
for the following CGUs:
1.
CGUs
Wind,
Water
and
Green
Block:
2%.
Discount
rate
reflecting
specific
risk
premium
was
4.92%
[discount rate reflecting specific risk premium before tax is 5.63%]
2.
CGU
Elektrownie
Systemowe
Kozienice
and
Elektrownie
Systemowe
Połaniec:
4%.
Discount
rate
reflecting
specific
risk
premium
was
5.44%
[discount
rate
reflecting
specific
risk
premium
before
tax
is
6.15%]
3.
CGU
Białystok:
2.5%.
Discount
rate
reflecting
specific
risk
premium
was
5.05%
[discount
rate
reflecting
specific risk premium before tax is 5.76%]
−
growth rate in residual period - 0%.
The
sensitivity
analysis
shows
that
significant
factors
having
impact
on
the
estimated
recoverable
values
of
CGUs
include:
discount
rates,
inflation,
electricity
prices
and
CO
2
emission
allowance
prices.
Future
financial
results
and
thus
the
recoverable
amounts
of
CGUs
will
also
be
driven
by
the
prices
of
energy
origin
certificates,
coal,
heat
and
biomass
prices.
The following table shows the value impact of selected factors on the total recoverable value (output value) of CGUs: